Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.387273 0.428455 0.472689 0.523822 0.581407 0.644370 0.718591
2025-04-20 0.323861 0.381385 0.447753 0.530363 0.630951 0.750106 0.902906
2025-04-27 0.287747 0.353148 0.432290 0.535866 0.668956 0.835712 1.062816
2025-05-04 0.261226 0.331385 0.419609 0.539893 0.701468 0.913637 1.217716
2025-05-11 0.239524 0.312474 0.407250 0.541083 0.727912 0.983536 1.366864
2025-05-18 0.223632 0.299106 0.400069 0.547231 0.759997 1.062327 1.535202
2025-05-25 0.204379 0.279190 0.381784 0.535439 0.764426 1.100702 1.646547
2025-06-01 0.193878 0.270367 0.377847 0.543196 0.797143 1.182599 1.832206
2025-06-08 0.181335 0.257502 0.366852 0.539131 0.810942 1.235967 1.977124
2025-06-15 0.172477 0.249249 0.361783 0.543236 0.837181 1.310518 2.164465
2025-06-22 0.161481 0.236963 0.349646 0.535099 0.842654 1.351095 2.296938
2025-06-29 0.152345 0.226849 0.340032 0.530014 0.852307 1.398909 2.446785
2025-07-06 0.140140 0.211372 0.321260 0.508952 0.833843 1.397594 2.508014
2025-07-13 0.134701 0.206209 0.318507 0.514250 0.861175 1.479604 2.737546
2025-07-20 0.129747 0.201458 0.316014 0.519627 0.888837 1.564472 2.982834
2025-07-27 0.124900 0.196550 0.312874 0.523510 0.913905 1.646597 3.232632
2025-08-03 0.119926 0.191106 0.308438 0.524659 0.933807 1.720438 3.474171
2025-08-10 0.116164 0.187456 0.306777 0.530592 0.963117 1.815394 3.773920
2025-08-17 0.109760 0.178934 0.296151 0.519210 0.957758 1.839558 3.917402
2025-08-24 0.106861 0.176292 0.295661 0.526697 0.990251 1.944979 4.263151
2025-08-31 0.102384 0.170634 0.289442 0.522774 0.999240 2.001280 4.499122
2025-09-07 0.099377 0.167410 0.287403 0.526737 1.024694 2.095607 4.841798
2025-09-14 0.094871 0.161260 0.279651 0.518882 1.024564 2.132930 5.044803